Analysis

POLUSD 0.10118 ↑0.15%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 15:00 Oct 11, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.10103 · High 0.10213 · Low 0.1005 · Close 0.10118 · Range (high − low) 0.00163
POLUSD closed at 0.10118, up 0.00015 (+0.15%) from 0.10103.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -9.6% to Neutral at -15.2%, down 5.6 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.102030.102090.101030.10118
Energy0.5%1.1%-9.6%-15.2%
Price change↓ 0.74%↑ 0.06%↓ 1.04%↑ 0.15%
Energy change↑ 5.7↑ 0.6↓ 10.7↓ 5.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.74%↑ 0.06%↓ 1.04%↑ 0.15%↑ 5.7↑ 0.6↓ 10.7↓ 5.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.15% — higher than 8% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.6 pts — higher than 33% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,617 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-22
Number of Neutral occurrences: 468 times

▸When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 217 times — 46.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 251 times — 53.6%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: -15.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 36.08%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 5.68%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-9.6%
Neutral
-15.2%
Neutral
-13.7%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, POLUSD within Neutral.

Market trend energy Market Energy moved from -9.6% to -15.2%, down -5.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.4 to 10.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 11-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.10118, up 0.15% from the previous candle (0.10103). Market Energy was -15.2%, down 5.6 points from -9.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.10118, up 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (0.10103). This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,546 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -9.6% to -15.2%. This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -9.6%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -15.2%, POLUSD is 36.08 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 5.68 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, -15.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 10.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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