Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.09827 to 0.09788, down 0.40%
Market Energy Bull Critical 65.7% to Bull Bias 33.0%, down 32.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.23%0.13%1.82%0.40%
Energy2.42.018.532.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.23% 0.13% 1.82% 0.40% 2.4 2.0 18.5 32.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.40% — higher than 24% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 32.7 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,401 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 314 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 98 times31.2%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 216 times68.8%

Current POLUSD market energy: 33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 27%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 12.12%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
65.7%
Bull Critical
33.0%
Bull Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, POLUSD recorded in the Bull trend energy zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy reading dropped -32.7%, moving from 65.7% to 33% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -70.7 to +86.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 17-09-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.09788, down 0.4% from the previous candle (0.09827). Market Energy was 33%, down 32.7 points from 65.7%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09788, down 0.4% from the previous 4H candle (0.09827). This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,405 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 32.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 65.7% to 33%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 65.7%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 33%, POLUSD is 27 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 12.12 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -16.3%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 33%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 35.9%. POLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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