Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.09308 to 0.09347, up 0.42%
Market Energy Bear Bias -39.2% to Bear Bias -30.2%, up 9.0 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.35%3.83%0.26%0.42%
Energy9.273.83.29.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.35% 3.83% 0.26% 0.42% 9.2 73.8 3.2 9.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.42% — higher than 26% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.0 pts — higher than 51% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,360 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 345 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 248 times71.9%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 97 times28.1%

Current POLUSD market energy: -30.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.79%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-39.2%
Bear Bias
-30.2%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Market Energy of POLUSD indicates Bear Bias.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system The energy level rose +9%: from -39.2% now at -30.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -52.1 to +98.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.09347, up 0.42% from the previous candle (0.09308). Market Energy was -30.2%, up 9.0 points from -39.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09347, up 0.42% from the previous 4H candle (0.09308). This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,363 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -39.2% to -30.2%. This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -39.2%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.2%, POLUSD is 9.33 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.79 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -82.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.3%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -30.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -7.5%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 22.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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