Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.09783 to 0.09607, down 1.80%
Market Energy Bull Bias 56.1% to Neutral 19.3%, down 36.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.75%0.12%1.49%1.80%
Energy24.012.854.036.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.75% 0.12% 1.49% 1.80% 24.0 12.8 54.0 36.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.80% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 36.9 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,358 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 449 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 206 times45.9%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 243 times54.1%

Current POLUSD market energy: 19.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.15%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-08 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
56.1%
Bull Bias
19.3%
Neutral
-37.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Neutral energy is the result just recorded for POLUSD after the 4H candle closed.

Observing the POLUSD market this session, Market Energy dropped -36.9% this candle, currently 19.3% (previous candle 56.1%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -39.5 to +98.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 08-09-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.09607, down 1.8% from the previous candle (0.09783). Market Energy was 19.3%, down 36.9 points from 56.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09607, down 1.8% from the previous 4H candle (0.09783). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,351 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 36.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 56.1% to 19.3%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 56.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 19.3%, POLUSD is 1.61 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.15 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -23.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 10.3%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 19.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.3%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 33.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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