Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1634 to 1.1631, down 0.02%
Market Energy Neutral 8.9% to Neutral 3.5%, down 5.4 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.09%0.02%0.02%
Energy24.311.77.85.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.09% 0.02% 0.02% 24.3 11.7 7.8 5.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 17% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.4 pts — higher than 34% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,292 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,127 times

When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,057 times49.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,070 times50.3%

Current EURUSD market energy: 3.5%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 17.38%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 24.38%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-09 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
8.9%
Neutral
3.5%
Neutral
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

EURUSD classified into the zone between Bull and Bear energy after the 4H candle completed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market trend energy recorded a -5.4% drop from the previous candle, from 8.9% to 3.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -58.9 to +38.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1631, down 0.02% from the previous candle (1.1634). Market Energy was 3.5%, down 5.4 points from 8.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1631, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.1634). This drop is larger than 17% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,977 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 8.9% to 3.5%. This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 8.9%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 3.5%, EURUSD is 17.38 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 24.38 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -31.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.8%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 3.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.9%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 37.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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