Analysis

·

Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.12177 to 0.11216, down 7.89%
Market Energy Bull Bias 49.1% to Neutral -1.1%, down 50.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.08%1.25%0.80%7.89%
Energy9.61.42.650.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.08% 1.25% 0.80% 7.89% 9.6 1.4 2.6 50.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 7.89% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 50.2 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,370 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 450 times

When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 207 times46%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 243 times54%

Current POLUSD market energy: -1.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 21.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 19.79%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
49.1%
Bull Bias
-1.1%
Neutral
-42.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

POLUSD classified into the balanced energy state after the 4H candle completed.

On trend energy, A -50.2% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -1.1% (previous: 49.1%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -1.1 to +94.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 26-08-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.11216, down 7.89% from the previous candle (0.12177). Market Energy was -1.1%, down 50.2 points from 49.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.11216, down 7.89% from the previous 4H candle (0.12177). This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD on record since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 50.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 49.1% to -1.1%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 49.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -1.1%, POLUSD is 21.97 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 19.79 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -26.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, -1.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.7%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 71.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .