Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.0774 to 0.07553, down 2.42%
Market Energy Neutral -2.1% to Bear Critical -70.9%, down 68.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.08%0.37%2.42%
Energy12.87.931.268.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.08% 0.37% 2.42% 12.8 7.9 31.2 68.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.42% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 68.9 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,370 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 117 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 92 times78.6%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 25 times21.4%

Current POLUSD market energy: -70.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.95%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.55%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-07-27 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-2.1%
Neutral
-70.9%
Bear Critical
-80.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, POLUSD currently in the near-peak Bear energy level.

Looking at the energy level, A -68.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -70.9% (previous: -2.1%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -72.5 to +37.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 27-07-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.07553, down 2.42% from the previous candle (0.0774). Market Energy was -70.9%, down 68.9 points from -2.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.07553, down 2.42% from the previous 4H candle (0.0774). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,092 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 68.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -2.1% to -70.9%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD on record since 2019.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -2.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.9%, POLUSD is 10.95 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.55 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 15.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 58%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Critical, -70.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.6%. POLUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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