Analysis

POLUSD 0.09609 ↓0.42%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 1H 02:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09651 · High 0.09705 · Low 0.09606 · Close 0.09609 · Range (high − low) 0.00099
POLUSD closed at 0.09609, down 0.00041 (-0.42%) from 0.0965.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 60.3% to Neutral at 20.1%, down 40.2 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.097480.097210.09650.09609
Energy87.2%81.9%60.3%20.1%
Price change↑ 1.37%↓ 0.28%↓ 0.73%↓ 0.42%
Energy change↑ 101.8↓ 5.3↓ 21.6↓ 40.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.37%↓ 0.28%↓ 0.73%↓ 0.42%↑ 101.8↓ 5.3↓ 21.6↓ 40.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.42% — higher than 49% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 40.2 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 1H

Sample: 18,426 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-21
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,946 times

▸When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 942 times — 48.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,004 times — 51.6%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 20.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.97%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-10-21 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
60.3%
Bull Critical
20.1%
Neutral
11.9%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, POLUSD in the neutral energy state.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy at 20.1%, down -40.2% from 60.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.9 to 100.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 02:00 on 22-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09609, down 0.42% from the previous candle (0.0965). Market Energy was 20.1%, down 40.2 points from 60.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09609, down 0.42% from the previous 1H candle (0.0965). This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 18,439 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 40.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 60.3% to 20.1%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 60.3%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.1%, POLUSD is 0.79 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.97 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 19.4%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 20.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.9%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 7.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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