Analysis

POLUSD 0.09641 ↑0.45%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 1H 19:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09598 · High 0.09725 · Low 0.0958 · Close 0.09641 · Range (high − low) 0.00145
POLUSD closed at 0.09641, up 0.00043 (+0.45%) from 0.09598.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -21.0% to Neutral at 13.4%, up 34.4 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.096090.095750.095980.09641
Energy15.1%-31.7%-21.0%13.4%
Price change↓ 0.33%↓ 0.35%↑ 0.24%↑ 0.45%
Energy change↓ 29.5↓ 46.8↑ 10.7↑ 34.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.33%↓ 0.35%↑ 0.24%↑ 0.45%↓ 29.5↓ 46.8↑ 10.7↑ 34.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.45% — higher than 52% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 34.4 pts — higher than 94% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 1H

Sample: 18,426 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-21
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,946 times

▸When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 942 times — 48.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,004 times — 51.6%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 13.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 7.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 34.32%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-21.0%
Bear Bias
13.4%
Neutral
-6.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, POLUSD shows the Bull/Bear balanced energy zone.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, A +34.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 13.4% (previous: -21%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.2 to 99.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 19:00 on 16-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09641, up 0.45% from the previous candle (0.09598). Market Energy was 13.4%, up 34.4 points from -21%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09641, up 0.45% from the previous 1H candle (0.09598). This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 18,312 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 34.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -21% to 13.4%. This rise is larger than 94% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -21%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 13.4%, POLUSD is 7.44 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 34.32 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -12%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 45.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 13.4%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.4%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 84.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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