Analysis

POLUSD 0.0956 ↓0.23%: Bulls very strong · 1H 04:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09582 · High 0.09635 · Low 0.09546 · Close 0.0956 · Range (high − low) 0.00089
POLUSD closed at 0.0956, down 0.00022 (-0.23%) from 0.09582.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 66.5% to Bull Critical at 61.6%, down 4.9 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.09530.095580.095820.0956
Energy60.8%63.2%66.5%61.6%
Price change↑ 0.48%↑ 0.29%↑ 0.25%↓ 0.23%
Energy change↓ 2.5↑ 2.5↑ 3.3↓ 4.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.48%↑ 0.29%↑ 0.25%↓ 0.23%↓ 2.5↑ 2.5↑ 3.3↓ 4.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 29% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.9 pts — higher than 30% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical POLUSD 1H

Sample: 18,396 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 501 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 140 times — 27.9%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 361 times — 72.1%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 61.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.86%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.64%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
66.5%
Bull Critical
61.6%
Bull Critical
61.0%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, POLUSD classified as the near-extreme Bull energy level.

Market trend energy Market trend energy recorded a -4.9% drop from the previous candle, from 66.5% to 61.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.2 to 99.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 04:00 on 16-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.0956, down 0.23% from the previous candle (0.09582). Market Energy was 61.6%, down 4.9 points from 66.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.0956, down 0.23% from the previous 1H candle (0.09582). This drop is larger than 29% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 18,297 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 66.5% to 61.6%. This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at 66.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.6%, POLUSD is 12.86 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.64 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Critical, 61.6%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.6%. POLUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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