Analysis

POLUSD 0.09748 ↓1.7%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 1H 03:00 Oct 10, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09919 · High 0.09944 · Low 0.0972 · Close 0.09748 · Range (high − low) 0.00224
POLUSD closed at 0.09748, down 0.00169 (-1.70%) from 0.09917.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -42.5% to Bear Extreme at -93.2%, down 50.7 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.100770.100780.099170.09748
Energy60.1%63.3%-42.5%-93.2%
Price change↑ 1.17%↑ 0.01%↓ 1.60%↓ 1.70%
Energy change↑ 76.5↑ 3.2↓ 105.8↓ 50.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.17%↑ 0.01%↓ 1.60%↓ 1.70%↑ 76.5↑ 3.2↓ 105.8↓ 50.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.70% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 50.7 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme POLUSD 1H

Sample: 18,473 1H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 257 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 257 times — 100%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: -93.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 18.69%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 6.81%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H1 · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-42.5%
Bear Bias
-93.2%
Bear Extreme
-80.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, POLUSD recorded in Bear energy in an extreme reading.

On the energy side, Market trend energy recorded a -50.7% drop from the previous candle, from -42.5% to -93.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.2 to 90.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 03:00 on 10-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09748, down 1.7% from the previous candle (0.09917). Market Energy was -93.2%, down 50.7 points from -42.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09748, down 1.7% from the previous 1H candle (0.09917). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD, across 18,152 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 50.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -42.5% to -93.2%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had POLUSD at -42.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -93.2%, POLUSD is 18.69 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 6.81 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Extreme, -93.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -1.3%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 91.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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