Analysis

NZDUSD 0.56856 ↑0.05%: Bulls very strong · 4H 04:00 Oct 21, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.56826 · High 0.5686 · Low 0.56787 · Close 0.56856 · Range (high − low) 0.000725
NZDUSD closed at 0.56856, up 0.000285 (+0.05%) from 0.56828.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 61.3% to Bull Critical at 61.4%, up 0.1 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.568470.568240.568280.56856
Energy91.8%81.7%61.3%61.4%
Price change↑ 0.14%↓ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.05%
Energy change↑ 21.1↓ 10.0↓ 20.4↑ 0.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.14%↓ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.05%↑ 21.1↓ 10.0↓ 20.4↑ 0.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 21% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.1 pts — higher than 0% of past rises
Knowledge

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RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,341 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 604 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 165 times — 27.3%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 439 times — 72.7%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: 61.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.4%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-20 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
61.3%
Bull Critical
61.4%
Bull Critical
45.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, NZDUSD in Bull Critical.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +0.1% from the previous candle, from 61.3% to 61.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from 6.4 to 98.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 21-10-2026, NZDUSD was at 0.56856, up 0.05% from the previous candle (0.56828). Market Energy was 61.4%, up 0.1 points from 61.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56856, up 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (0.56828). This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 12,134 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 61.3% to 61.4%. This rise is larger than 0% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at 61.3%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.4%, NZDUSD is 13.1 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.4 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.1%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bull Critical, 61.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.6%. NZDUSD energy is currently above DXY by 82 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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