Analysis

NZDUSD 0.56847 ↑0.14%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 16:00 Oct 20, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.56767 · High 0.56886 · Low 0.5676 · Close 0.56847 · Range (high − low) 0.00125
NZDUSD closed at 0.56847, up 0.0008 (+0.14%) from 0.56767.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 70.7% to Bull Extreme at 91.8%, up 21.1 points.
Fourth straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.566220.566440.567670.56847
Energy41.1%38.7%70.7%91.8%
Price change↑ 0.01%↑ 0.04%↑ 0.22%↑ 0.14%
Energy change↓ 10.6↓ 2.4↑ 32.0↑ 21.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.01%↑ 0.04%↑ 0.22%↑ 0.14%↓ 10.6↓ 2.4↑ 32.0↑ 21.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.14% — higher than 51% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 21.1 pts — higher than 79% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,340 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 211 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 211 times — 100%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: 91.79%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 8.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 17.29%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-20 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
70.7%
Bull Critical
91.8%
Bull Extreme
81.7%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, NZDUSD currently in Bull energy at Extreme.

On trend energy, Market Energy moved from 70.7% to 91.8%, up +21.1% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -19.1 to 98.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 20-10-2026, NZDUSD was at 0.56847, up 0.14% from the previous candle (0.56767). Market Energy was 91.8%, up 21.1 points from 70.7%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56847, up 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (0.56767). This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 12,131 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 21.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.7% to 91.8%. This rise is larger than 79% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at 70.7%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, NZDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 91.8%, NZDUSD is 8.21 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 17.29 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bull Extreme, 91.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -85.7%. NZDUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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