Analysis

NZDUSD 0.56206 ↑0.14%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 08:00 Oct 14, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.56062 · High 0.56221 · Low 0.56038 · Close 0.56206 · Range (high − low) 0.00182
NZDUSD closed at 0.56206, up 0.0008 (+0.14%) from 0.56126.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 77.6% to Bull Extreme at 74.9%, down 2.7 points.
Second straight up candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.56130.561210.561260.56206
Energy95.4%86.9%77.6%74.9%
Price change↑ 0.16%↓ 0.02%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.14%
Energy change↑ 36.5↓ 8.4↓ 9.3↓ 2.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.16%↓ 0.02%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.14%↑ 36.5↓ 8.4↓ 9.3↓ 2.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.14% — higher than 52% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.7 pts — higher than 15% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,333 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 211 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 211 times — 100%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: 74.94%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 25.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 0.44%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
77.6%
Bull Extreme
74.9%
Bull Extreme
92.2%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, NZDUSD within Bull in Extreme state.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -2.7% this candle, currently 74.9% (previous candle 77.6%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.7 to 95.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 08:00 on 14-10-2026, NZDUSD was at 0.56206, up 0.14% from the previous candle (0.56126). Market Energy was 74.9%, down 2.7 points from 77.6%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56206, up 0.14% from the previous 4H candle (0.56126). This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 12,105 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.6% to 74.9%. This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at 77.6%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 74.9%, NZDUSD is 25.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 0.44 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 11.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 2%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bull Extreme, 74.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -61.5%. NZDUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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