Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.56669 to 0.56612, down 0.10%
Market Energy Neutral 14.1% to Neutral -7.4%, down 21.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.19%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.10%
Energy▲ 16.5▲ 18.5▼ 16.1▼ 21.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.19%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.10%▲ 16.5▲ 18.5▼ 16.1▼ 21.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 21.5 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,244 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-27
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,003 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,002 times — 50%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,001 times — 50%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: -7.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 28.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 13.45%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
14.1%
Neutral
-7.4%
Neutral
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, NZDUSD shows the Neutral level.

On the energy side, Compared to the previous candle (14.1%), Market Energy dropped -21.5% to -7.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.7 to +30.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.56612, down 0.1% from the previous candle (0.56669). Market Energy was -7.4%, down 21.5 points from 14.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56612, down 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (0.56669). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 12,039 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 21.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 14.1% to -7.4%. This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at 14.1%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -7.4%, NZDUSD is 28.31 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 13.45 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Neutral, -7.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.8%. NZDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 37.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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