Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.58149 to 0.58267, up 0.20%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -82.6% to Neutral -10.2%, up 72.4 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.14%0.31%0.20%
Energy6.63.112.472.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.14% 0.31% 0.20% 6.6 3.1 12.4 72.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 66% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 72.4 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NZDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,176 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,998 times

When NZDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,002 times50.2%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 996 times49.8%

Current NZDUSD market energy: -10.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 31.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 10.64%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-11 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-82.6%
Bear Extreme
-10.2%
Neutral
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, NZDUSD currently in the neutral energy level.

On trend energy, Energy delta +72.4%: Market Energy at -10.2%, previously -82.6%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.1 to +21.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.58267, up 0.2% from the previous candle (0.58149). Market Energy was -10.2%, up 72.4 points from -82.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.58267, up 0.2% from the previous 4H candle (0.58149). This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 11,968 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 72.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -82.6% to -10.2%. This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDUSD on record since 2019.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDUSD at -82.6%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, NZDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Neutral.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -10.2%, NZDUSD is 31.12 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 10.64 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 27.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Neutral, -10.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 24.8%. NZDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 35.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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