Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.58296 to 0.58091, down 0.35%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.2% to Bear Extreme -83.1%, down 12.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.22%0.04%0.18%0.35%
Energy10.612.75.912.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.22% 0.04% 0.18% 0.35% 10.6 12.7 5.9 12.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.9 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,764 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,020 times

When NZDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,020 times100%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NZDUSD market energy: -83.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.64%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 16.86%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H1 · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-70.2%
Bear Critical
-83.1%
Bear Extreme
-88.5%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, NZDUSD within the Bear Extreme zone.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -12.9%, moving from -70.2% to -83.1% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -91.6 to +12.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.58091, down 0.35% from the previous candle (0.58296). Market Energy was -83.1%, down 12.9 points from -70.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.58091, down 0.35% from the previous 1H candle (0.58296). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 47,762 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.2% to -83.1%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDUSD at -70.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, NZDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -83.1%, NZDUSD is 8.64 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16.86 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.2%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Extreme, -83.1%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 41.8%. NZDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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