Analysis

NEARUSD 4.742 ↓2.47%: Bears very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 24, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 4.862 · High 4.896 · Low 4.725 · Close 4.742 · Range (high − low) 0.171
NEARUSD closed at 4.742, down 0.12 (-2.47%) from 4.862.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -37.8% to Bear Critical at -73.2%, down 35.4 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.9254.9324.8624.742
Energy-33.8%-31.7%-37.8%-73.2%
Price change↓ 0.63%↑ 0.14%↓ 1.42%↓ 2.47%
Energy change↑ 0.8↑ 2.0↓ 6.1↓ 35.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.63%↑ 0.14%↓ 1.42%↓ 2.47%↑ 0.8↑ 2.0↓ 6.1↓ 35.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.47% — higher than 78% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 35.4 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,200 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 523 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 388 times — 74.2%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 135 times — 25.8%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -73.22%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.28%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-23 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-37.8%
Bear Bias
-73.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, NEARUSD currently in the Bear Critical state.

The energy side shows A -35.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -73.2% (previous: -37.8%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -87.7 to 79.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 23-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.742, down 2.47% from the previous candle (4.862). Market Energy was -73.2%, down 35.4 points from -37.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.742, down 2.47% from the previous 4H candle (4.862). This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,202 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 35.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37.8% to -73.2%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -37.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.2%, NEARUSD is 13.22 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.28 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 17.3%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Critical, -73.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 32.5%. NEARUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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