Analysis

NEARUSD 5.309 ↓1.43%: Bulls very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 22, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5.385 · High 5.451 · Low 5.23 · Close 5.309 · Range (high − low) 0.221
NEARUSD closed at 5.309, down 0.077 (-1.43%) from 5.386.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 79.3% to Bull Critical at 69.1%, down 10.2 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5.2065.1725.3865.309
Energy59.5%57.2%79.3%69.1%
Price change↑ 3.44%↓ 0.65%↑ 4.14%↓ 1.43%
Energy change↑ 43.0↓ 2.3↑ 22.1↓ 10.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 3.44%↓ 0.65%↑ 4.14%↓ 1.43%↑ 43.0↓ 2.3↑ 22.1↓ 10.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.43% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.2 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,188 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 553 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 130 times — 23.5%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 423 times — 76.5%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 69.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 5.35%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.15%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-21 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
79.3%
Bull Extreme
69.1%
Bull Critical
58.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, Market Energy of NEARUSD indicates the Bull Critical state.

Market trend update: Market Energy at 69.1%, down -10.2% from 79.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -87.7 to 79.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 21-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.309, down 1.43% from the previous candle (5.386). Market Energy was 69.1%, down 10.2 points from 79.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.309, down 1.43% from the previous 4H candle (5.386). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,190 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 79.3% to 69.1%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 79.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 69.1%, NEARUSD is 5.35 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 9.15 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.5%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 69.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.6%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 48.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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