Analysis

NEARUSD 4.739 ↓3.85%: Bears very strong · 4H 23:00 Oct 18, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 4.93 · High 4.948 · Low 4.678 · Close 4.739 · Range (high − low) 0.27
NEARUSD closed at 4.739, down 0.19 (-3.85%) from 4.929.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -14.0% to Bear Critical at -66.5%, down 52.5 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5.0424.9664.9294.739
Energy-9.3%-5.3%-14.0%-66.5%
Price change↑ 3.68%↓ 1.51%↓ 0.75%↓ 3.85%
Energy change↑ 39.7↑ 4.0↓ 8.7↓ 52.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 3.68%↓ 1.51%↓ 0.75%↓ 3.85%↑ 39.7↑ 4.0↓ 8.7↓ 52.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.85% — higher than 90% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 52.5 pts — higher than 95% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,169 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 522 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 388 times — 74.3%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 134 times — 25.7%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -66.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.48%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.02%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-18 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-14.0%
Neutral
-66.5%
Bear Critical
-87.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, Result for NEARUSD: the Bear Critical zone.

Market energy movement Market trend energy recorded a -52.5% drop from the previous candle, from -14% to -66.5%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to 99.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 18-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.739, down 3.85% from the previous candle (4.929). Market Energy was -66.5%, down 52.5 points from -14%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.739, down 3.85% from the previous 4H candle (4.929). This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,171 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 52.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14% to -66.5%. This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -14%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.5%, NEARUSD is 6.48 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.02 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Critical, -66.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.5%. NEARUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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