Analysis

NEARUSD 4.863 ↓4.05%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · D Oct 17, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 5.069 · High 5.198 · Low 4.764 · Close 4.863 · Range (high − low) 0.434
NEARUSD closed at 4.863, down 0.205 (-4.04%) from 5.068.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -6.6% to Neutral at -20.0%, down 13.5 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.8845.2635.0684.863
Energy-36.7%-8.9%-6.6%-20.0%
Price change↓ 3.10%↑ 7.76%↓ 3.71%↓ 4.04%
Energy change↓ 14.9↑ 27.8↑ 2.3↓ 13.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 3.10%↑ 7.76%↓ 3.71%↓ 4.04%↓ 14.9↑ 27.8↑ 2.3↓ 13.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.04% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.5 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD Daily

Sample: 2,194 Daily candles from 2020-10-15 to 2026-10-17
Number of Neutral occurrences: 200 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 98 times — 49%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 102 times — 51%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -20.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 40.91%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 0.85%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · D1 · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-6.6%
Neutral
-20.0%
Neutral
-14.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, NEARUSD recorded in balanced energy.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, The energy level dropped -13.5%: from -6.6% now at -20%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -36.7 to 27.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 17-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.863, down 4.05% from the previous candle (5.068). Market Energy was -20%, down 13.5 points from -6.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.863, down 4.05% from the previous Daily candle (5.068). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD, across 2,193 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -6.6% to -20%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had NEARUSD at -6.6%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -20%, NEARUSD is 40.91 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 0.85 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, -20%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.5%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 58.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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