Analysis

NEARUSD 5.316 ↑2.09%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 19:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5.208 · High 5.361 · Low 5.202 · Close 5.316 · Range (high − low) 0.159
NEARUSD closed at 5.316, up 0.109 (+2.09%) from 5.207.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 81.1% to Bull Extreme at 81.0%, down 0.1 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5.2635.2285.2075.316
Energy94.5%84.9%81.1%81.0%
Price change↓ 2.77%↓ 0.67%↓ 0.40%↑ 2.09%
Energy change↓ 5.2↓ 9.6↓ 3.8↓ 0.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 2.77%↓ 0.67%↓ 0.40%↑ 2.09%↓ 5.2↓ 9.6↓ 3.8↓ 0.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.09% — higher than 70% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.1 pts — higher than 1% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,170 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 344 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 344 times — 100%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 80.96%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 19.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 6.46%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
81.1%
Bull Extreme
81.0%
Bull Extreme
23.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, NEARUSD shows Bull Extreme trend energy.

On trend energy, Market Energy reading dropped -0.1%, moving from 81.1% to 81% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to 99.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 19:00 on 16-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.316, up 2.09% from the previous candle (5.207). Market Energy was 81%, down 0.1 points from 81.1%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.316, up 2.09% from the previous 4H candle (5.207). This rise is larger than 70% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,158 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.1% to 81%. This drop is larger than 1% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 81.1%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 81%, NEARUSD is 19.04 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 6.46 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Extreme, 81%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -77.9%. NEARUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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