Analysis

NEARUSD 5.117 ↑11.43%: Bulls very strong · 4H 23:00 Oct 15, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 4.593 · High 5.125 · Low 4.527 · Close 5.117 · Range (high − low) 0.598
NEARUSD closed at 5.117, up 0.525 (+11.43%) from 4.592.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -69.4% to Bull Critical at 62.2%, up 131.6 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.6594.7594.5925.117
Energy-80.0%-69.7%-69.4%62.2%
Price change↓ 4.61%↑ 2.15%↓ 3.51%↑ 11.43%
Energy change↓ 2.2↑ 10.3↑ 0.3↑ 131.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 4.61%↑ 2.15%↓ 3.51%↑ 11.43%↓ 2.2↑ 10.3↑ 0.3↑ 131.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 11.43% — higher than 99% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 131.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,170 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 553 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 130 times — 23.5%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 423 times — 76.5%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 62.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.19%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-69.4%
Bear Critical
62.2%
Bull Critical
99.7%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, Result for NEARUSD: the near-peak Bull energy level.

On trend energy, The energy level rose +131.6%: from -69.4% now at 62.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to 92.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 15-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.117, up 11.43% from the previous candle (4.592). Market Energy was 62.2%, up 131.6 points from -69.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.117, up 11.43% from the previous 4H candle (4.592). This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,153 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 131.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -69.4% to 62.2%. This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD on record since 2019.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -69.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bull Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.2%, NEARUSD is 12.31 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.19 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 62.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.5%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 82.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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