Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NEARUSD from 5.022 to 5.188, up 3.31%
Market Energy Bull Bias 52.8% to Bull Critical 70.6%, up 17.7 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 6.65%▼ 2.92%▲ 0.12%▲ 3.31%
Energy▲ 84.5▼ 11.1▼ 11.6▲ 17.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 6.65%▼ 2.92%▲ 0.12%▲ 3.31%▲ 84.5▼ 11.1▼ 11.6▲ 17.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 3.31% — higher than 85% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 17.7 pts — higher than 75% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,091 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 545 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 127 times — 23.3%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 418 times — 76.7%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 70.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.94%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.56%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-05 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
52.8%
Bull Bias
70.6%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, NEARUSD in the near-extreme Bull energy level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market trend energy recorded a +17.7% rise from the previous candle, from 52.8% to 70.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.5 to +75.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 5.188, up 3.31% from the previous candle (5.022). Market Energy was 70.6%, up 17.7 points from 52.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.188, up 3.31% from the previous 4H candle (5.022). This rise is larger than 85% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,094 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 17.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 52.8% to 70.6%. This rise is larger than 75% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 52.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.6%, NEARUSD is 3.94 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.56 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.9%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 70.6%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -21.2%. NEARUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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