Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.81957 to 0.82457, up 0.61%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.9% to Bull Critical 70.0%, down 11.9 pts
Up candle #4 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.17%▲ 0.92%▲ 0.04%▲ 0.61%
Energy▲ 51.8▲ 14.7▲ 5.3▼ 11.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.17%▲ 0.92%▲ 0.04%▲ 0.61%▲ 51.8▲ 14.7▲ 5.3▼ 11.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.61% — higher than 64% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.9 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical COTTON 4H

Sample: 203 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 11 times

▸When COTTON is in Bull Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 2 times — 18.2%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 9 times — 81.8%

▸Current COTTON market energy: 69.96%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.96%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-10-05 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
81.9%
Bull Extreme
70.0%
Bull Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, Result for COTTON: Bull energy near extreme.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -11.9% this candle, currently 70% (previous candle 81.9%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -81.9 to +81.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.82457, up 0.61% from the previous candle (0.81957). Market Energy was 70%, down 11.9 points from 81.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.82457, up 0.61% from the previous 4H candle (0.81957). This rise is larger than 64% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 206 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.9% to 70%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at 81.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70%, COTTON is 4.54 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 9.96 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.6%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bull Critical, 70%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 54.5%. COTTON (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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