Analysis

·

Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.666 to 1.642, down 1.44%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -88.0% to Bear Extreme -87.0%, up 1.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.30%0.95%0.30%1.44%
Energy1.50.67.41.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.30% 0.95% 0.30% 1.44% 1.5 0.6 7.4 1.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.44% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.0 pts — higher than 7% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,951 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 287 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 287 times100%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -86.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.47%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.03%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-07-28 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-88.0%
Bear Extreme
-87.0%
Bear Extreme
-84.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, NEARUSD currently in the Bear Extreme level.

Market trend energy Market Energy at -87%, up +1% from -88% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to +62.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 28-07-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.642, down 1.44% from the previous candle (1.666). Market Energy was -87%, up 1.0 points from -88%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.642, down 1.44% from the previous 4H candle (1.666). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 12,680 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -88% to -87%. This rise is larger than 7% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -88%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -87%, NEARUSD is 12.47 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.03 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83.1%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Extreme, -87%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -93%. NEARUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .