Analysis

NEARUSD 5.054 ↑0.1%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 1H 00:00 Oct 17, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5.049 · High 5.116 · Low 5.018 · Close 5.054 · Range (high − low) 0.098
NEARUSD closed at 5.054, up 0.005 (+0.10%) from 5.049.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -95.5% to Bear Extreme at -95.8%, down 0.3 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5.2525.2225.0495.054
Energy-28.6%-33.3%-95.5%-95.8%
Price change↑ 0.42%↓ 0.57%↓ 3.31%↑ 0.10%
Energy change↓ 6.2↓ 4.7↓ 62.3↓ 0.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.42%↓ 0.57%↓ 3.31%↑ 0.10%↓ 6.2↓ 4.7↓ 62.3↓ 0.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.10% — higher than 8% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.3 pts — higher than 2% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NEARUSD 1H

Sample: 52,781 1H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 950 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 950 times — 100%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -95.81%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.31%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 4.19%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-95.5%
Bear Extreme
-95.8%
Bear Extreme
-76.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, NEARUSD recorded in Bear Extreme.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy reading dropped -0.3%, moving from -95.5% to -95.8% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.8 to 100.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 00:00 on 16-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.054, up 0.1% from the previous candle (5.049). Market Energy was -95.8%, down 0.3 points from -95.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.054, up 0.1% from the previous 1H candle (5.049). This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 52,621 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -95.5% to -95.8%. This drop is larger than 2% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NEARUSD at -95.5%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -95.8%, NEARUSD is 21.31 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 4.19 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.7%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Extreme, -95.8%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 90%. NEARUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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