Analysis

NEARUSD 5.292 ↓1.42%: Bulls very strong · 1H 09:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5.368 · High 5.394 · Low 5.29 · Close 5.292 · Range (high − low) 0.104
NEARUSD closed at 5.292, down 0.076 (-1.42%) from 5.368.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 74.3% to Bull Critical at 63.8%, down 10.6 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5.3165.2635.3685.292
Energy85.3%68.1%74.3%63.8%
Price change↓ 0.39%↓ 1.00%↑ 2.00%↓ 1.42%
Energy change↓ 3.4↓ 17.1↑ 6.2↓ 10.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.39%↓ 1.00%↑ 2.00%↓ 1.42%↓ 3.4↓ 17.1↑ 6.2↓ 10.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.42% — higher than 82% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.6 pts — higher than 56% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD 1H

Sample: 52,679 1H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,859 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 453 times — 24.4%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,406 times — 75.6%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 63.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.76%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
74.3%
Bull Critical
63.8%
Bull Critical
24.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, Market NEARUSD in the Bull Critical measurement.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at 63.8%, down -10.6% from 74.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.4 to 100.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 09:00 on 16-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.292, down 1.42% from the previous candle (5.368). Market Energy was 63.8%, down 10.6 points from 74.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.292, down 1.42% from the previous 1H candle (5.368). This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 52,606 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74.3% to 63.8%. This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NEARUSD at 74.3%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.8%, NEARUSD is 10.74 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.76 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.9%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 63.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -44.6%. NEARUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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