Analysis

GER40 Index 25,364.4 points ↓0.55%: Bears have the edge · 4H 16:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 25,503.9 · High 25,521.9 · Low 25,333.9 · Close 25,364.4 · Range (high − low) 188
GER40 Index closed at 25,364.4 points, down 140 (-0.55%) from 25,504.4.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 70.5% to Bear Bias at -34.9%, down 105.4 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price25,60125,55225,50425,364
Energy87.2%80.5%70.5%-34.9%
Price change↓ 0.17%↓ 0.19%↓ 0.19%↓ 0.55%
Energy change↓ 9.5↓ 6.6↓ 10.1↓ 105.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.17%↓ 0.19%↓ 0.19%↓ 0.55%↓ 9.5↓ 6.6↓ 10.1↓ 105.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.55% — higher than 81% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 105.4 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,943 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,169 times

▸When GER40 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 762 times — 65.2%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 407 times — 34.8%

▸Current GER40 Index market energy: -34.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 14.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.05%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-10-22 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GER40 chart →
Market Energy
70.5%
Bull Critical
-34.9%
Bear Bias
-8.3%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

GER40 Index classified into the Bear Bias level after the 4H candle completed.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -105.4% from the previous session, from 70.5% to -34.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to 96.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 22-10-2026, GER40 Index was at 25,364.4, down 0.55% from the previous candle (25,504.4). Market Energy was -34.9%, down 105.4 points from 70.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,364.4, down 0.55% from the previous 4H candle (25,504.4). This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,971 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 105.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.5% to -34.9%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at 70.5%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.9%, GER40 Index is 14.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.05 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Bias, -34.9%) has higher energy than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.2%. GER40 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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