Analysis

GER40 Index 25,250.05 points ↑0.11%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 16:00 Oct 15, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 25,222.3 · High 25,310.6 · Low 25,123.3 · Close 25,250.05 · Range (high − low) 187.3
GER40 Index closed at 25,250.05 points, up 28.25 (+0.11%) from 25,221.8.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -60.8% to Neutral at -18.4%, up 42.3 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price25,23625,18325,22225,250
Energy-69.0%-76.8%-60.8%-18.4%
Price change↓ 0.13%↓ 0.21%↑ 0.15%↑ 0.11%
Energy change↓ 23.2↓ 7.8↑ 16.0↑ 42.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.13%↓ 0.21%↑ 0.15%↑ 0.11%↓ 23.2↓ 7.8↑ 16.0↑ 42.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 26% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 42.3 pts — higher than 88% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,924 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-10-16
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,282 times

▸When GER40 Index is in Neutral:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 718 times — 56%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 564 times — 44%

▸Current GER40 Index market energy: -18.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 39.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 2.43%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GER40 chart →
Market Energy
-60.8%
Bear Critical
-18.4%
Neutral
6.2%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, GER40 Index within the neutral energy state.

Market trend energy The energy level rose +42.3%: from -60.8% now at -18.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -76.8 to 98.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 15-10-2026, GER40 Index was at 25,250.05, up 0.11% from the previous candle (25,221.8). Market Energy was -18.4%, up 42.3 points from -60.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,250.05, up 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (25,221.8). This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,942 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 42.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -60.8% to -18.4%. This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at -60.8%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Neutral.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -18.4%, GER40 Index is 39.33 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 2.43 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.5%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Neutral, -18.4%) has higher energy than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.3%. GER40 Index energy is currently above DXY by 63.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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