Analysis

GER40 Index 25,313.4 points ↓1.07%: Bears very strong · 4H 16:00 Oct 19, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 25,586.9 · High 25,588.4 · Low 25,307.4 · Close 25,313.4 · Range (high − low) 281
GER40 Index closed at 25,313.4 points, down 272.5 (-1.06%) from 25,585.9.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 6.7% to Bear Critical at -74.4%, down 81.1 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price25,52825,47425,58625,313
Energy52.7%-9.6%6.7%-74.4%
Price change↓ 0.48%↓ 0.21%↑ 0.44%↓ 1.06%
Energy change↓ 41.4↓ 62.3↑ 16.3↓ 81.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.48%↓ 0.21%↑ 0.44%↓ 1.06%↓ 41.4↓ 62.3↑ 16.3↓ 81.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.06% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 81.1 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,927 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 691 times

▸When GER40 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 473 times — 68.5%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 218 times — 31.5%

▸Current GER40 Index market energy: -74.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.11%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-10-19 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GER40 chart →
Market Energy
6.7%
Neutral
-74.4%
Bear Critical
-99.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, GER40 Index in the near-extreme Bear energy level.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -81.1% this candle, currently -74.4% (previous candle 6.7%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -76.8 to 94.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 19-10-2026, GER40 Index was at 25,313.4, down 1.07% from the previous candle (25,585.9). Market Energy was -74.4%, down 81.1 points from 6.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,313.4, down 1.07% from the previous 4H candle (25,585.9). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,953 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 81.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 6.7% to -74.4%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at 6.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.4%, GER40 Index is 14.39 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.11 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.7%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Critical, -74.4%) lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30%. GER40 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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