Analysis

AUS200 Index 8,773.9 points ↓0.34%: Bears very strong · 4H 20:00 Oct 19, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 8,804.4 · High 8,807.9 · Low 8,766.9 · Close 8,773.9 · Range (high − low) 41
AUS200 Index closed at 8,773.9 points, down 30 (-0.34%) from 8,803.9.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 32.5% to Bear Critical at -63.7%, down 96.2 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price8,801.98,8418,803.98,773.9
Energy53.1%63.1%32.5%-63.7%
Price change↓ 0.18%↑ 0.44%↓ 0.42%↓ 0.34%
Energy change↓ 25.4↑ 10.0↓ 30.6↓ 96.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.18%↑ 0.44%↓ 0.42%↓ 0.34%↓ 25.4↑ 10.0↓ 30.6↓ 96.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.34% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 96.2 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 301 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 19 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 52.6%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 9 times — 47.4%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: -63.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.84%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-10-19 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
32.5%
Bull Bias
-63.7%
Bear Critical
-74.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

AUS200 Index processing result: the near-extreme Bear energy zone after the 4H candle closed.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy reading dropped -96.2%, moving from 32.5% to -63.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -87.2 to 95.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 19-10-2026, AUS200 Index was at 8,773.9, down 0.34% from the previous candle (8,803.9). Market Energy was -63.7%, down 96.2 points from 32.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,773.9, down 0.34% from the previous 4H candle (8,803.9). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 302 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 96.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 32.5% to -63.7%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at 32.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.7%, AUS200 Index is 3.66 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.84 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.7%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Critical, -63.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 61.5%. AUS200 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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