Analysis

AUS200 Index 8,772.9 points ↓0.01%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 20, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 8,774.4 · High 8,796.4 · Low 8,768.9 · Close 8,772.9 · Range (high − low) 27.5
AUS200 Index closed at 8,772.9 points, down 1 (-0.01%) from 8,773.9.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -63.7% to Bear Extreme at -74.7%, down 11.0 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price8,8418,803.98,773.98,772.9
Energy63.1%32.5%-63.7%-74.7%
Price change↑ 0.44%↓ 0.42%↓ 0.34%↓ 0.01%
Energy change↑ 10.0↓ 30.6↓ 96.2↓ 11.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.44%↓ 0.42%↓ 0.34%↓ 0.01%↑ 10.0↓ 30.6↓ 96.2↓ 11.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 4% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.0 pts — higher than 42% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 302 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 18 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 18 times — 100%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: -74.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.19%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 25.31%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-10-19 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
-63.7%
Bear Critical
-74.7%
Bear Extreme
-43.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, AUS200 Index reflects Bear Extreme.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Compared to the previous candle (-63.7%), Market Energy dropped -11% to -74.7%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -77 to 95.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 19-10-2026, AUS200 Index was at 8,772.9, down 0.01% from the previous candle (8,773.9). Market Energy was -74.7%, down 11.0 points from -63.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,772.9, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (8,773.9). This drop is larger than 4% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 303 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11 percentage points from the previous candle — from -63.7% to -74.7%. This drop is larger than 42% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at -63.7%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -74.7%, AUS200 Index is 0.19 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 25.31 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Extreme, -74.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -1.2%. AUS200 Index energy is currently below DXY by 73.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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