Analysis

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Price and energy
GER40 Index from 25,637.4 to 25,571.6 points, down 0.26%
Market Energy Neutral 11.8% to Bear Bias -22.4%, down 34.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.32%0.34%0.12%0.26%
Energy2.522.930.834.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.32% 0.34% 0.12% 0.26% 2.5 22.9 30.8 34.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 55% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 34.2 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,798 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,160 times

When GER40 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 757 times65.3%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 403 times34.7%

Current GER40 Index market energy: -22.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.47%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.65%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
11.8%
Neutral
-22.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias zone determined for GER40 Index through the 4H candle data.

Market energy measurement Compared to the previous candle (11.8%), Market Energy dropped -34.2% to -22.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -55.5 to +79.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, GER40 Index was at 25,571.6, down 0.26% from the previous candle (25,637.4). Market Energy was -22.4%, down 34.2 points from 11.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,571.6, down 0.26% from the previous 4H candle (25,637.4). This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,830 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 11.8% to -22.4%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at 11.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -22.4%, GER40 Index is 1.47 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 37.65 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.4%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Bias, -22.4%) lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.4%. GER40 Index energy is currently below DXY by 41.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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