Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.71094 to 0.71179, up 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Bias -51.9% to Bear Bias -41.2%, up 10.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.10%0.11%0.04%0.12%
Energy20.51.46.910.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.10% 0.11% 0.04% 0.12% 20.5 1.4 6.9 10.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.12% — higher than 47% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.8 pts — higher than 52% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,209 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,506 times

When AUDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,033 times68.6%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 473 times31.4%

Current AUDUSD market energy: -41.16%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.28%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.84%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-51.9%
Bear Bias
-41.2%
Bear Bias
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, AUDUSD shows Bear Bias.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market trend energy recorded a +10.8% rise from the previous candle, from -51.9% to -41.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.7 to +10.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.71179, up 0.12% from the previous candle (0.71094). Market Energy was -41.2%, up 10.8 points from -51.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.71179, up 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (0.71094). This rise is larger than 47% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,004 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -51.9% to -41.2%. This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -51.9%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -41.2%, AUDUSD is 20.28 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 18.84 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -47.6%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Bias, -41.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.4%. AUDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 60.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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