Analysis

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Price and energy
GER40 Index from 25,544.3 to 25,524.3 points, down 0.08%
Market Energy Bear Critical -71.1% to Bear Critical -74.2%, down 3.1 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.00%0.05%0.08%
Energy4.32.80.33.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.00% 0.05% 0.08% 4.3 2.8 0.3 3.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08% — higher than 44% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.1 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GER40 Index 1H

Sample: 61,779 1H candles from 2014-07-10 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,762 times

When GER40 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 1,942 times70.3%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 820 times29.7%

Current GER40 Index market energy: -74.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.32%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H1 · 2026-09-09 19:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-71.1%
Bear Critical
-74.2%
Bear Critical
-71.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded GER40 Index in the near-extreme Bear energy level after the 1H candle closed.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta -3.1%: Market Energy at -74.2%, previously -71.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -100 to +66.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, GER40 Index was at 25,524.3, down 0.08% from the previous candle (25,544.3). Market Energy was -74.2%, down 3.1 points from -71.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,524.3, down 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (25,544.3). This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for GER40, across 43,143 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.1% to -74.2%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had GER40 Index at -71.1%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.2%, GER40 Index is 14.18 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.32 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.2%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bear Critical, -74.2%) lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 46.1%. GER40 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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