Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.58377 to 0.58392, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Critical -66.4% to Bear Critical -60.7%, up 5.7 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.10%0.01%0.02%
Energy8.68.63.95.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.10% 0.01% 0.02% 8.6 8.6 3.9 5.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 22% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.7 pts — higher than 36% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NZDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,722 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,320 times

When NZDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,641 times70.7%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 679 times29.3%

Current NZDUSD market energy: -60.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.76%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · H1 · 2026-09-09 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-66.4%
Bear Critical
-60.7%
Bear Critical
-55.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, NZDUSD within Bear in Critical state.

End-of-session update for 1H, Market Energy rose +5.7% from the previous session, from -66.4% to -60.7%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +70.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.58392, up 0.02% from the previous candle (0.58377). Market Energy was -60.7%, up 5.7 points from -66.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.58392, up 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (0.58377). This rise is larger than 22% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD, across 47,894 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.4% to -60.7%. This rise is larger than 36% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDUSD at -66.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.7%, NZDUSD is 0.74 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.76 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -32.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.7%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Critical, -60.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.9%. NZDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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