Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPJPY from 209.0585 to 208.0825, down 0.47%
Market Energy Neutral -2.5% to Bear Critical -67.4%, down 65.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.47%
Energy▲ 10.7▼ 15.9▼ 84.5▼ 65.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.47%▲ 10.7▼ 15.9▼ 84.5▼ 65.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.47% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 65.0 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,272 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 882 times

▸When GBPJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 629 times — 71.3%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 253 times — 28.7%

▸Current GBPJPY market energy: -67.41%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.09%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-2.5%
Neutral
-67.4%
Bear Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Market GBPJPY in the near-peak Bear energy state.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, A -65% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -67.4% (previous: -2.5%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -74.6 to +98.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 208.0825, down 0.47% from the previous candle (209.0585). Market Energy was -67.4%, down 65.0 points from -2.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 208.0825, down 0.47% from the previous 4H candle (209.0585). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 12,063 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 65 percentage points from the previous candle — from -2.5% to -67.4%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at -2.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, GBPJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.4%, GBPJPY is 7.41 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.09 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Bear Critical, -67.4%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%. GBPJPY energy is currently below DXY by 86.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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