Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPJPY from 208.445 to 208.615, up 0.08%
Market Energy Bull Bias 59.0% to Bull Critical 60.1%, up 1.1 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%▲ 0.18%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.08%
Energy▲ 18.0▲ 92.4▲ 11.6▲ 1.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00%▲ 0.18%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.08%▲ 18.0▲ 92.4▲ 11.6▲ 1.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.08% — higher than 38% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.1 pts — higher than 6% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,264 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,039 times

▸When GBPJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 357 times — 34.4%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 682 times — 65.6%

▸Current GBPJPY market energy: 60.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.11%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
59.0%
Bull Bias
60.1%
Bull Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Critical reading determined for GBPJPY through the 4H candle data.

Market trend energy Market Energy moved from 59% to 60.1%, up +1.1% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -92.5 to +60.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 208.615, up 0.08% from the previous candle (208.445). Market Energy was 60.1%, up 1.1 points from 59%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 208.615, up 0.08% from the previous 4H candle (208.445). This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 12,057 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 59% to 60.1%. This rise is larger than 6% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at 59%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, GBPJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.1%, GBPJPY is 14.39 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.11 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.5%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Bull Critical, 60.1%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -15.4%. GBPJPY energy is currently above DXY by 75.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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