Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPJPY from 209.427 to 209.0585, down 0.18%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 82.0% to Neutral -2.5%, down 84.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.35%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.18%
Energy▲ 16.4▲ 10.7▼ 15.9▼ 84.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.35%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.18%▲ 16.4▲ 10.7▼ 15.9▼ 84.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.18% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 84.5 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,269 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-30
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,567 times

▸When GBPJPY is in Neutral:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 846 times — 54%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 721 times — 46%

▸Current GBPJPY market energy: -2.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 23.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 18.42%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
82.0%
Bull Extreme
-2.5%
Neutral
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, GBPJPY shows the balanced Market Energy state.

At the 4H session close, Market trend energy recorded a -84.5% drop from the previous candle, from 82% to -2.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -74.6 to +98.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 209.0585, down 0.18% from the previous candle (209.427). Market Energy was -2.5%, down 84.5 points from 82%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 209.0585, down 0.18% from the previous 4H candle (209.427). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 12,062 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 84.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82% to -2.5%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at 82%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Neutral.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -2.5%, GBPJPY is 23.34 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 18.42 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Neutral, -2.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 97.1%. GBPJPY energy is currently below DXY by 99.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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