Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPCHF from 1.0977 to 1.0975, down 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -93.4% to Bear Extreme -85.9%, up 7.5 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.16%0.21%0.01%0.02%
Energy25.759.75.77.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.16% 0.21% 0.01% 0.02% 25.7 59.7 5.7 7.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 17% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.5 pts — higher than 45% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPCHF 4H

Sample: 255 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1 times

When GBPCHF is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPCHF moved to higher Market State: 1 times100%
  • then GBPCHF moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPCHF market energy: -85.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.4%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 14.1%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GBPCHF · H4 · 2026-09-21 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-93.4%
Bear Extreme
-85.9%
Bear Extreme
-79.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, GBPCHF noted at the peak Bear energy level.

On the energy side, Market Energy rose +7.5% from the previous candle, from -93.4% to -85.9%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCHF Market Energy ranged from -93.4 to +56.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, GBPCHF was at 1.0975, down 0.02% from the previous candle (1.0977). Market Energy was -85.9%, up 7.5 points from -93.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCHF closed at 1.0975, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.0977). This drop is larger than 17% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCHF, across 256 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -93.4% to -85.9%. This rise is larger than 45% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPCHF.

Do GBPCHF price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCHF at -93.4%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPCHF energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -85.9%, GBPCHF is 11.4 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 14.1 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.6%. Against this backdrop, GBPCHF (Bear Extreme, -85.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.8%. GBPCHF (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCHF on the GBPCHF overview →

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