Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 91.627 to 93.032, up 1.53%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -88.9% to Bear Extreme -78.2%, up 10.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.52%▼ 2.42%▲ 0.51%▲ 1.53%
Energy▲ 10.1▼ 28.3▲ 1.0▲ 10.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.52%▼ 2.42%▲ 0.51%▲ 1.53%▲ 10.1▼ 28.3▲ 1.0▲ 10.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.53% — higher than 89% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.8 pts — higher than 54% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,116 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 822 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 822 times — 100%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -78.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.65%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.85%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-88.9%
Bear Extreme
-78.2%
Bear Extreme
-87.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, USOIL in the Bear Extreme state.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, A +10.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -78.2% (previous: -88.9%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -89.9 to +22.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 93.032, up 1.53% from the previous candle (91.627). Market Energy was -78.2%, up 10.8 points from -88.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 93.032, up 1.53% from the previous 4H candle (91.627). This rise is larger than 89% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,872 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -88.9% to -78.2%. This rise is larger than 54% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -88.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.2%, USOIL is 3.65 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.85 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -1.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Extreme, -78.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 53.4%. USOIL (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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