Analysis

EURUSD 1.1207 ↓0.06%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 00:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.1214 · High 1.1225 · Low 1.1193 · Close 1.1207 · Range (high − low) 0.00311
EURUSD closed at 1.1207, down 0.000715 (-0.06%) from 1.1214.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 26.2% to Neutral at 13.7%, down 12.5 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.12161.12161.12141.1207
Energy33.9%32.7%26.2%13.7%
Price change↑ 0.17%↑ 0.00%↓ 0.02%↓ 0.06%
Energy change↑ 69.1↓ 1.3↓ 6.5↓ 12.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.17%↑ 0.00%↓ 0.02%↓ 0.06%↑ 69.1↓ 1.3↓ 6.5↓ 12.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 41% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.5 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,455 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-16
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,140 times

▸When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,063 times — 49.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,077 times — 50.3%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 13.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 7.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 34.56%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
26.2%
Bull Bias
13.7%
Neutral
24.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, EURUSD in Neutral.

Market energy movement Market Energy reading dropped -12.5%, moving from 26.2% to 13.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to 70.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 15-10-2026, EURUSD was at 1.1207, down 0.06% from the previous candle (1.1214). Market Energy was 13.7%, down 12.5 points from 26.2%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1207, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (1.1214). This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,131 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 26.2% to 13.7%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 26.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 13.7%, EURUSD is 7.2 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 34.56 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 29.4%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 13.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -84.8%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 98.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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