Analysis

EURUSD 1.1214 ↓0.02%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 20:00 Oct 15, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.1216 · High 1.1228 · Low 1.1201 · Close 1.1214 · Range (high − low) 0.002765
EURUSD closed at 1.1214, down 0.0002 (-0.02%) from 1.1216.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 32.7% to Bull Bias at 26.2%, down 6.5 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.11961.12161.12161.1214
Energy-35.1%33.9%32.7%26.2%
Price change↑ 0.35%↑ 0.17%↑ 0.00%↓ 0.02%
Energy change↑ 64.8↑ 69.1↓ 1.3↓ 6.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.35%↑ 0.17%↑ 0.00%↓ 0.02%↑ 64.8↑ 69.1↓ 1.3↓ 6.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 13% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.5 pts — higher than 40% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,455 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,623 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 490 times — 30.2%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,133 times — 69.8%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 26.16%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 33.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 5.28%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
32.7%
Bull Bias
26.2%
Bull Bias
13.7%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, EURUSD recorded in the Bull Bias zone.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -6.5% from the previous session, from 32.7% to 26.2%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to 70.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 15-10-2026, EURUSD was at 1.1214, down 0.02% from the previous candle (1.1216). Market Energy was 26.2%, down 6.5 points from 32.7%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1214, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.1216). This drop is larger than 13% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,130 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 32.7% to 26.2%. This drop is larger than 40% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 32.7%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 26.2%, EURUSD is 33.84 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 5.28 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 29.4%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Bias, 26.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.6%. EURUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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