Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.126 to 1.1256, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Bias -43.6% to Bear Bias -30.2%, up 13.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.16%▼ 0.02%▲ 0.08%▼ 0.04%
Energy▲ 6.4▲ 5.9▲ 27.6▲ 13.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.16%▼ 0.02%▲ 0.08%▼ 0.04%▲ 6.4▲ 5.9▲ 27.6▲ 13.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 24% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.4 pts — higher than 65% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,389 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,687 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,155 times — 68.5%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 532 times — 31.5%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -30.22%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.78%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-10-02 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-43.6%
Bear Bias
-30.2%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURUSD recorded in Bear Bias as the 4H candle ended.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading rose +13.4%, moving from -43.6% to -30.2% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -91.9 to +37.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1256, down 0.04% from the previous candle (1.126). Market Energy was -30.2%, up 13.4 points from -43.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1256, down 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (1.126). This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 12,077 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -43.6% to -30.2%. This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -43.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.2%, EURUSD is 9.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.78 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.8%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Bias, -30.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.3%. EURUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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