Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1537 to 1.1534, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Critical -67.7% to Bear Critical -66.9%, up 0.8 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.09%0.05%0.06%0.03%
Energy10.24.27.00.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.09% 0.05% 0.06% 0.03% 10.2 4.2 7.0 0.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 19% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.8 pts — higher than 5% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,312 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 741 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 530 times71.5%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 211 times28.5%

Current EURUSD market energy: -66.88%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.88%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.62%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-15 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-67.7%
Bear Critical
-66.9%
Bear Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURUSD classified into the Bear Critical state after the 4H candle completed.

Market energy measurement The energy level rose +0.8%: from -67.7% now at -66.9%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.1 to +10.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1534, down 0.03% from the previous candle (1.1537). Market Energy was -66.9%, up 0.8 points from -67.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1534, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (1.1537). This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,997 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -67.7% to -66.9%. This rise is larger than 5% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -67.7%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.9%, EURUSD is 6.88 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.62 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.3%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Critical, -66.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.7%. EURUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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