Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1593 to 1.1548, down 0.39%
Market Energy Neutral -19.5% to Bear Bias -57.4%, down 37.9 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.20%0.11%0.04%0.39%
Energy31.618.92.437.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.20% 0.11% 0.04% 0.39% 31.6 18.9 2.4 37.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 37.9 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURUSD Daily

Sample: 4,037 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 343 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 237 times69.1%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 106 times30.9%

Current EURUSD market energy: -57.41%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 36.53%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 2.59%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · D1 · 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-19.5%
Neutral
-57.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Daily candle, EURUSD classified as energy leaning Bear.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Energy delta -37.9%: Market Energy at -57.4%, previously -19.5%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -57.4 to +33.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1548, down 0.39% from the previous candle (1.1593). Market Energy was -57.4%, down 37.9 points from -19.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1548, down 0.39% from the previous Daily candle (1.1593). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD, across 2,407 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 37.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.5% to -57.4%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had EURUSD at -19.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -57.4%, EURUSD is 36.53 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 2.59 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -4.5%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Bias, -57.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -13.5%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 44 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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