Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1646 to 1.1636, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bull Bias 28.3% to Neutral 16.6%, down 11.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.00%0.11%0.09%
Energy23.211.424.311.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.00% 0.11% 0.09% 23.2 11.4 24.3 11.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.7 pts — higher than 60% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,322 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-16
Number of Neutral occurrences: 2,128 times

When EURUSD is in Neutral:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,057 times49.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,071 times50.3%

Current EURUSD market energy: 16.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 4.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 37.52%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-09 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
28.3%
Bull Bias
16.6%
Neutral
8.9%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, EURUSD recorded in the Neutral energy level.

On trend energy, Market Energy reading dropped -11.7%, moving from 28.3% to 16.6% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -58.9 to +38.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1636, down 0.09% from the previous candle (1.1646). Market Energy was 16.6%, down 11.7 points from 28.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1636, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (1.1646). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,975 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 28.3% to 16.6%. This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 28.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 16.6%, EURUSD is 4.24 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 37.52 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -87.2%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Neutral, 16.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -35.9%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 52.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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