Analysis

·

Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1548 to 1.1537, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.4% to Bear Extreme -77.0%, down 19.6 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.04%0.39%0.10%
Energy18.92.437.919.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.04% 0.39% 0.10% 18.9 2.4 37.9 19.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 28% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.6 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURUSD Daily

Sample: 4,038 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 43 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 43 times100%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current EURUSD market energy: -76.98%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.48%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.02%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · D1 · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
-57.4%
Bear Bias
-77.0%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, EURUSD classified as the peak Bear energy level.

Market trend energy Market trend energy recorded a -19.6% drop from the previous candle, from -57.4% to -77%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -77 to +1.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1537, down 0.1% from the previous candle (1.1548). Market Energy was -77%, down 19.6 points from -57.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1537, down 0.1% from the previous Daily candle (1.1548). This drop is larger than 28% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD, across 2,408 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.4% to -77%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had EURUSD at -57.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77%, EURUSD is 2.48 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.02 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 35.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Extreme, -77%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.8%. EURUSD energy is currently below DXY by 79.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .