Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1638 to 1.1626, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.3% to Bull Critical 66.8%, down 8.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.12%▲ 0.14%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.10%
Energy▲ 32.0▲ 28.9▲ 14.6▼ 8.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.12%▲ 0.14%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.10%▲ 32.0▲ 28.9▲ 14.6▼ 8.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 56% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.5 pts — higher than 49% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,401 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 643 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 181 times — 28.1%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 462 times — 71.9%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 66.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.76%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2026-09-03 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
75.3%
Bull Extreme
66.8%
Bull Critical
62.1%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, EURUSD classified as the Bull Critical energy zone.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Compared to the previous candle (75.3%), Market Energy dropped -8.5% to 66.8%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.7 to +75.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1626, down 0.1% from the previous candle (1.1638). Market Energy was 66.8%, down 8.5 points from 75.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1626, down 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (1.1638). This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 11,952 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.3% to 66.8%. This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at 75.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.8%, EURUSD is 7.74 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.76 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.8%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 66.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -81.7%. EURUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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